ChartHorizon
The Weekly Tape · Futures Desk
Positioning, not predictions.
No. 31 · August 1, 2026 Support

The Hedgers' Ledger — 2026-08-01

Weekly COT extremes from the commercial book · CFTC report 2026-07-28 · 3-year window · Data: ChartHorizon

The report dated 2026-07-28 shows commercial hedgers pressed to a three-year positioning high in three markets — Euro FX and Canadian Dollar fresh to that register this week, the 10-Year T-Note already established there — with no market at the opposite extreme among the entries tracked here. The lean is one-sided, and the broader board carries additional extremes this issue does not detail. Three highs, no lows, and two of them newly arrived: that is not a crowded tape on both sides of the ledger — it is a tape that has chosen a direction, at least for now, and the sitting will tell us whether it holds.

Market Side Percentile New
Euro FX ▲ HIGH 99th New
10-Year U.S. T-Note ▲ HIGH 96th  
Canadian Dollar ▲ HIGH 96th New

Euro FX — commercials at a 3-year HIGH

Euro FX — commercials net positioning

Commercial Net sits at the 99th percentile of its ~3-year range — the commercials (hedgers, the “smart-money” side) have been heavy net buyers. Net: +51,714 contracts (as of 2026-07-28). New this week.


10-Year U.S. T-Note — commercials at a 3-year HIGH

10-Year U.S. T-Note — commercials net positioning

Commercial Net sits at the 96th percentile of its ~3-year range — the commercials (hedgers, the “smart-money” side) have been heavy net buyers. Net: +890,267 contracts (as of 2026-07-28).


Canadian Dollar — commercials at a 3-year HIGH

Canadian Dollar — commercials net positioning

Commercial Net sits at the 96th percentile of its ~3-year range — the commercials (hedgers, the “smart-money” side) have been heavy net buyers. Net: +189,021 contracts (as of 2026-07-28). New this week.


Informational and educational only — not financial advice. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss; seasonal and positioning signals do not guarantee future results. Signals and charts: ChartHorizon (local end-of-day data).