ChartHorizon
The Weekly Tape · Futures Desk
Positioning, not predictions.
No. 43 · October 24, 2026 Support

New Positioning Highs in Bitcoin, T-Note, Australian Dollar and Gold

Ten markets at three-year positioning extremes in the CFTC report of 13 October 2026: hedger highs in Euro FX and Lean Hogs, a low in Sugar #11.

Weekly COT extremes from the commercial book and the six-month hedging program · CFTC report 2026-10-13 · 3-year window · Data: ChartHorizon

The report dated 2026-10-13 puts ten markets at a three-year positioning extreme: nine at highs, one at a low. Five set fresh window records with this report, Euro FX, Lean Hogs, Class III Milk and Platinum on the high side and Sugar #11 on the low. Euro FX, Lean Hogs and Sugar #11 extend records they set a week ago; the Euro FX commercial net added another 39,201 contracts, to +111,225. Class III Milk (99th percentile last week) and Platinum (97th) reach theirs for the first time. Four markets are new to the list, all at highs: Bitcoin (where the tracked book is the leveraged funds, not the commercials), the 10-Year U.S. T-Note, the Australian Dollar and Gold. Four left it since last week: the E-mini Nasdaq 100 (a record low a week ago), the E-mini Russell 2000, the 2-Year U.S. T-Note and Brent Crude Oil. That leaves Sugar #11 as the only low on the board, where last week’s had four.

Market Side Percentile New
Euro FX ▲ HIGH 100th  
Lean Hogs ▲ HIGH 100th  
Class III Milk ▲ HIGH 100th  
Platinum ▲ HIGH 100th  
Sugar #11 ▼ LOW 1st  
Bitcoin ▲ HIGH 99th New
British Pound ▲ HIGH 99th  
10-Year U.S. T-Note ▲ HIGH 98th New
Australian Dollar ▲ HIGH 97th New
Gold ▲ HIGH 97th New

Percentile is where this week’s net sits inside its own 3-year range. How the desk reads positioning: About the desk.


Euro FX: commercials at a 3-year high, a fresh record

Euro FX: commercials net positioning

Commercial Net sits at the 100th percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials (the hedgers) have been heavy net buyers. That is a fresh record for the window. Net: +111,225 contracts (as of 2026-10-13).


Lean Hogs: commercials at a 3-year high, a fresh record

Lean Hogs: commercials net positioning

Producer/Merchant Net sits at the 100th percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials have covered shorts toward the least-short end of the window; the book is still net short. That is a fresh record for the window. Net: -1,389 contracts (as of 2026-10-13).


Class III Milk: commercials at a 3-year high, a fresh record

Class III Milk: commercials net positioning

Producer/Merchant Net sits at the 100th percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials have been heavy net buyers. That is a fresh record for the window. Net: +10,643 contracts (as of 2026-10-13).


Platinum: commercials at a 3-year high, a fresh record

Platinum: commercials net positioning

Producer/Merchant Net sits at the 100th percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials have covered shorts toward the least-short end of the window; the book is still net short. That is a fresh record for the window. Net: -7,654 contracts (as of 2026-10-13).


Sugar #11: commercials at a 3-year low, a fresh record

Sugar #11: commercials net positioning

Producer/Merchant Net sits at the 1st percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials have been heavy net sellers. That is a fresh record for the window. Net: -385,991 contracts (as of 2026-10-13).


Bitcoin: leveraged funds at a 3-year high

Bitcoin: leveraged funds net positioning

Leveraged Funds Net sits at the 99th percentile of its ~3-year range. The leveraged funds (the fast, speculative money) have covered shorts toward the least-short end of the window; the book is still net short. Net: -5,844 contracts (as of 2026-10-13). New this week.


British Pound: commercials at a 3-year high

British Pound: commercials net positioning

Commercial Net sits at the 99th percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials have been heavy net buyers. Net: +121,444 contracts (as of 2026-10-13).


10-Year U.S. T-Note: commercials at a 3-year high

10-Year U.S. T-Note: commercials net positioning

Commercial Net sits at the 98th percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials have been heavy net buyers. Net: +942,566 contracts (as of 2026-10-13). New this week.


Australian Dollar: commercials at a 3-year high

Australian Dollar: commercials net positioning

Commercial Net sits at the 97th percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials have been heavy net buyers. Net: +106,370 contracts (as of 2026-10-13). New this week.


Gold: commercials at a 3-year high

Gold: commercials net positioning

Producer/Merchant Net sits at the 97th percentile of its ~3-year range. The commercials have covered shorts toward the least-short end of the window; the book is still net short. Net: -18,437 contracts (as of 2026-10-13). New this week.


The hedging program

Where each market’s tracked COT net sits inside its own trailing six-month range: above the midpoint of that range or below it. This is the same positioning read at close quarters, and it answers a different question from the extremes above: a book can sit at a three-year low and still have been working higher for six months. What follows is only what MOVED: the markets that crossed that midpoint with this week’s report.

25 programs read above the midpoint of their own trailing six-month range this week, 14 below. Five crossed it with this report: WTI Crude Oil from below to above, Silver from below to above, Cotton #2 from below to above, Cocoa from above to below and 30-Year U.S. T-Bond from below to above.

Market Turned 6-month program
WTI Crude Oil from below the midpoint ▲ above midpoint
Silver from below the midpoint ▲ above midpoint
Cotton #2 from below the midpoint ▲ above midpoint
Cocoa from above the midpoint ▼ below midpoint
30-Year U.S. T-Bond from below the midpoint ▲ above midpoint

WTI Crude Oil: the program turns bullish

WTI Crude Oil: the six-month hedging program, commercials net

In the CFTC report of 2026-10-13, Producer/Merchant Net crossed the midpoint of its own trailing six-month range: it now sits above that midpoint, where the previous report still had it below. It cleared that midpoint by 6.2% of the window’s own range.

Silver: the program turns bullish

Silver: the six-month hedging program, commercials net

In the CFTC report of 2026-10-13, Producer/Merchant Net crossed the midpoint of its own trailing six-month range: it now sits above that midpoint, where the previous report still had it below. It cleared that midpoint by 2.0% of the window’s own range.

Cotton #2: the program turns bullish

Cotton #2: the six-month hedging program, commercials net

In the CFTC report of 2026-10-13, Producer/Merchant Net crossed the midpoint of its own trailing six-month range: it now sits above that midpoint, where the previous report still had it below. It cleared that midpoint by 4.2% of the window’s own range.

Cocoa: the program turns bearish

Cocoa: the six-month hedging program, commercials net

In the CFTC report of 2026-10-13, Producer/Merchant Net crossed the midpoint of its own trailing six-month range: it now sits below that midpoint, where the previous report still had it above. It cleared that midpoint by 5.8% of the window’s own range.

30-Year U.S. T-Bond: the program turns bullish

30-Year U.S. T-Bond: the six-month hedging program, commercials net

In the CFTC report of 2026-10-13, Commercial Net crossed the midpoint of its own trailing six-month range: it now sits above that midpoint, where the previous report still had it below. It cleared that midpoint by 5.7% of the window’s own range.


Informational and educational only — not financial advice. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss; seasonal and positioning signals do not guarantee future results. Signals and charts: ChartHorizon (local end-of-day data).